雅虎新闻/YouGov民调:尽管有人质疑“来自地狱的笔记本电脑”,但大多数美国人认为特朗普夫妇比拜登夫妇更“腐败”

2020-10-27 22:10

Yahoo News/YouGov poll: Despite questions about the 'laptop from hell,' most Americans think the Trumps are more 'corrupt ' than the Bidens 3ug世界播

雅虎新闻/YouGov民调:尽管有人质疑“来自地狱的笔记本电脑”,但大多数美国人认为特朗普夫妇比拜登夫妇更“腐败”3ug世界播


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In the waning days of the 2020 campaign, President Trump has intensified his accusations of (mostly unspecified) wrongdoing by his Democratic rival Joe Biden based on emails supposedly found on a laptop formerly owned by Biden’s son Hunter. 3ug世界播

在2020年竞选的最后几天,特朗普总统加大了对民主党竞争对手乔·拜登(Joe Biden)不当行为(大多未指明)的指控,这些电子邮件据称是在拜登儿子亨特(Hunter)以前拥有的笔记本电脑上发现的。3ug世界播


But a plurality of voters aren’t buying it — and a majority believe Trump and his family are more “corrupt” than the Bidens, according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll. 3ug世界播

但根据雅虎新闻和YouGov的一项新民调,大多数选民并不相信这一点-大多数人认为特朗普和他的家人比拜登夫妇更“腐败”。3ug世界播


“They had the laptop, I call it the laptop from hell, and based on that laptop they should have never impeached,” Trump said during a rally Monday in Allentown, Penn., implying without evidence that Democrats, presumably the ones on the House Judiciary Committee, had possession of Hunter’s laptop and covered it up during last year’s impeachment proceedings because it would implicate Biden and exculpate Trump. “But they didn’t want to reveal a little thing like that.” 3ug世界播

周一,特朗普在宾夕法尼亚州艾伦敦的一次集会上说,“他们有这台笔记本电脑,我称之为来自地狱的笔记本电脑,基于这台笔记本电脑,他们永远不应该弹劾。”他在没有证据的情况下暗示,民主党人,大概是众议院司法委员会的成员,拥有亨特的笔记本电脑,并在去年的弹劾程序中掩盖了这一点,因为这会牵涉到拜登,证明特朗普无罪。“但他们不想透露这样的小事。”3ug世界播


The existence of the laptop was only disclosed earlier this month by Trump’s lawyer Rudy Giuliani, who claimed it had been abandoned in a computer repair shop last year and that the shop’s owner had given the hard drive, or copies of the contents of it, to Giuliani and the FBI. That narrative doesn’t explain how Congressional Democrats might have known about it during last fall’s impeachment hearings, which were based on Trump’s attempt to persuade Ukrainian government officials to announce an investigation of the Bidens. 3ug世界播

本月早些时候,特朗普的律师鲁迪·朱利安尼(Rudy Giuliani)才披露了这台笔记本电脑的存在,他声称,这台笔记本电脑去年被遗弃在一家电脑维修店,店主已经将硬盘或硬盘内容的副本交给了朱利安尼和联邦调查局(FBI)。这种说法无法解释国会民主党人是如何在去年秋天的弹劾听证会上知道这件事的,那次听证会是基于特朗普试图说服乌克兰政府官员宣布对拜登夫妇进行调查。3ug世界播


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Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani speaks about crime in New York City on Sept. 16. (Kathy Willens/AP) 3ug世界播

9月9日,前纽约市长鲁迪·朱利安尼(Rudy Giuliani)在谈到纽约市的犯罪问题。16.。文/美联社记者凯西·威伦斯(Kathy Willens)3ug世界播


Overall, from what they’ve heard of the laptop, 44 percent of registered voters say Joe Biden didn’t do anything wrong, 37 percent think he did and another 19 percent aren’t sure. 3ug世界播

总体而言,从他们听说的笔记本电脑来看,44%的登记选民认为乔·拜登没有做错任何事情,37%的人认为他做了什么,另有19%的人不确定。3ug世界播


A former business partner of Hunter Biden has claimed that he traded on his father’s name and position to solicit business deals in China, and that the senior Biden, during or after his tenure as vice president, was supposed to receive a cut of the profits. Joe Biden has denied receiving or soliciting or expecting any income from his son’s overseas business dealings, and there is no evidence that he did, including on his income-tax returns, which he has made public. 3ug世界播

亨特·拜登(Hunter Biden)的一名前商业伙伴声称,他利用父亲的名字和职位在中国招揽商业交易,这位资深拜登在担任副总统期间或之后,本应从利润中分得一杯羹。乔·拜登(Joe Biden)否认从他儿子的海外商业交易中收受、索取或期待任何收入,也没有证据表明他这样做了,包括他已经公开的所得税申报单。3ug世界播


The survey, which was conducted from Oct. 23 to 25, found that views on Hunter Biden’s laptop have hardened along predictably partisan lines and appear unlikely to affect the outcome of the election. For instance, 77 percent of Trump voters say there’s been too little media coverage of the controversy; three-quarters of Biden voters say there’s either been too much (56 percent) or about the right amount (19 percent). As for Biden’s involvement, 82 percent of Trump voters are convinced the former vice president did something wrong — while 79 percent Biden voters are sure he didn’t. 3ug世界播

这项在10月23日至25日进行的调查发现,人们对亨特·拜登笔记本电脑的看法在不出所料的党派界限上变得强硬,似乎不太可能影响选举结果。例如,77%的特朗普选民表示,媒体对这场争议的报道太少;四分之三的拜登选民表示,要么报道太多(56%),要么报道得恰到好处(19%)。至于拜登的参与,82%的特朗普选民相信这位前副总统做错了什么-而79%的拜登选民相信他没有做错。3ug世界播


In between, independents are evenly divided (41 percent yes vs. 40 percent no) on the question of whether Joe Biden committed any wrongdoing, and they’re even more likely to believe his son was involved in some sort of misbehavior (46 percent yes vs. 27 percent no). Such numbers suggest that Trump’s message is at least reaching less partisan voters, more than three-quarters of whom say they have heard either a lot (39 percent) or a little (38 percent) about the laptop. 3ug世界播

在这两者之间,无党派人士在乔·拜登是否有任何不当行为的问题上平分秋色(41%赞成,40%反对),他们甚至更有可能认为他的儿子参与了某种不当行为(46%赞成,27%反对)。这些数字表明,特朗普的信息至少正在接触到不那么偏袒党派的选民,超过四分之三的选民表示,他们要么听说了很多(39%)关于笔记本电脑的事情,要么听说了一点(38%)。3ug世界播


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Hunter and Joe Biden in Washington, D.C., in 2016. (Teresa Kroeger/Getty Images) 3ug世界播

2016年,亨特和乔·拜登在华盛顿特区。(特蕾莎·克罗格/Getty Images)3ug世界播


The problem for the president is that by an 11-point margin, independents also say Trump and his family are more “corrupt” (50 percent) than Biden and his family (39 percent) — a view shared by the majority of registered voters (53 percent to 39 percent). 3ug世界播

总统面临的问题是,无党派人士还以11个百分点的差距表示,特朗普和他的家人比拜登和他的家人(39%)更“腐败”(50%)-这一观点得到了大多数登记选民(53%对39%)的认同。3ug世界播


Although Trump denied having business interests in Russia during the campaign, he was in fact pursuing a major real-estate deal in Moscow, according to his lawyer at the time, Michael Cohen, who was personally involved in the negotiations. Trump’s sons manage his hotel and resort business, which charge the U.S. government for rooms rented by officials and security personnel during the president’s frequent visits to his properties. Senate Democrats brought a lawsuit charging that Trump was violating the Constitution by receiving profits from foreign governments who put up diplomats at his hotel in Washington, D.C. The Supreme Court let stand a lower court ruling dismissing the case on technical legal grounds. 3ug世界播

尽管特朗普在竞选期间否认在俄罗斯有商业利益,但据他当时亲自参与谈判的律师迈克尔·科恩(Michael Cohen)说,他实际上是在莫斯科寻求一笔重大的房地产交易。特朗普的儿子们管理着他的酒店和度假村业务,这些业务向美国政府收取在总统频繁访问他的房产期间官员和安全人员租用的房间费用。参议院民主党人提起诉讼,指控特朗普从外国政府那里收受利润,这些外国政府向他在华盛顿特区的酒店派驻外交官。最高法院允许下级法院以技术法律为由驳回此案的裁决,违反了宪法。3ug世界播


Asked directly whether they think Joe Biden and his family are corrupt, 47 percent of registered voters say no. Just 40 percent say yes. 3ug世界播

当被直接问及他们是否认为乔·拜登和他的家人腐败时,47%的登记选民表示不认为。只有40%的人说是。3ug世界播


Asked the same question about Trump and his family, 55 percent of registered voters say yes. Just 35 percent say no. 3ug世界播

当被问及关于特朗普和他的家人的同样问题时,55%的登记选民回答是。只有35%的人说不。3ug世界播


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Ivanka Trump, Eric Trump, Donald Trump Jr. and Tiffany Trump watch as President Trump speaks on the final night of the Republican National Convention at the White House on Aug. 27. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images) 3ug世界播

伊万卡·特朗普、埃里克·特朗普、小唐纳德·特朗普。8月27日,蒂芙尼·特朗普(Tiffany Trump)在白宫观看特朗普总统在共和党全国代表大会最后一晚发表讲话。(贾宾·博特福德/“华盛顿邮报”,Getty Images报道)3ug世界播


To capitalize on his “laptop from hell” attacks, Trump would need to convince any remaining persuadable and undecided voters to break his way at the last minute, much as they did after he spent the closing weeks of the 2016 campaign harping on Hillary Clinton’s emails. Instead, the Yahoo News/YouGov poll shows, Biden’s lead among likely voters grew from 11 to 12 points over the last week; the number of undecideds, meanwhile, shrank to 3 percent, and just 3 percent of Biden’s voters still say there is “a chance” they will change their minds. Nearly half of registered voters (48 percent) say Trump talks about Hunter Biden’s laptop “too much”; far fewer say he talks about it “too little” (12 percent) or “about the right amount” (28 percent). 3ug世界播

为了利用他的“来自地狱的笔记本电脑”攻击,特朗普需要说服所有剩下的有说服力的犹豫不决的选民在最后一刻打破他的道路,就像他们在2016年竞选的最后几周里喋喋不休地谈论希拉里·克林顿的电子邮件后所做的那样。相反,雅虎新闻/YouGov的民调显示,在过去一周里,拜登在可能的选民中的领先优势从11个百分点上升到12个百分点;与此同时,犹豫不决的人数减少到3%,只有3%的拜登选民仍然表示,他们“有可能”改变主意。近一半的登记选民(48%)表示,特朗普对亨特·拜登的笔记本电脑的谈论“太多”;说他谈论的“太少”(12%)或“数量合适”(28%)的人要少得多。3ug世界播


So unless some shocking new information emerges before Election Day, the laptop is unlikely to be a winning issue for Trump. In fact, a majority of registered voters (55 percent) say it’s inappropriate for Trump to call for Biden to be “locked up,” and only 28 percent think Biden has “committed crimes for which he should be imprisoned.” 3ug世界播

因此,除非在选举日之前出现一些令人震惊的新信息,否则笔记本电脑不太可能成为特朗普获胜的问题。事实上,大多数登记选民(55%)表示,特朗普呼吁将拜登“关起来”是不合适的,只有28%的人认为拜登“犯下了应该入狱的罪行”。3ug世界播


In contrast, a narrow plurality of Americans (43 percent vs. 42 percent) say that if Biden wins on Nov. 3, he should “launch investigations into whether Trump committed crimes” during his presidency. 3ug世界播

相比之下,微弱多数的美国人(43%对42%)表示,如果拜登在11月3日获胜,他应该在总统任期内“对特朗普是否犯罪展开调查”。3ug世界播


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