2020-10-14 18:03

After two lost decades, U.S.'s weakest local economies may face worse from pandemic NvD世界播



FILE PHOTO: A man wearing a mask walks past shuttered businesses on Broadway NvD世界播


(Reuters) - A decade-long economic expansion did little to narrow the gaps between the United States' prosperous and ailing areas, with thousands of "distressed" zip codes shedding jobs and businesses in a trend that laid the groundwork for the developing "K" shaped recovery from the coronavirus pandemic. NvD世界播


New analysis from the Economic Innovation Group studying economic patterns across roughly 25,000 zip codes showed that from 2000 through 2018, already prosperous areas pulled further ahead, capturing disproportionate shares of the jobs created and the new businesses that were formed. NvD世界播

经济创新集团(Economic Innovation Group)对大约2.5万个邮政编码的经济模式进行的新分析显示,从2000年到2018年,已经繁荣的地区进一步领先,在创造的就业机会和新成立的企业中占据了不成比例的份额。NvD世界播

For 5,000 or so "distressed" zip codes it was by contrast a period of lost opportunity as they fell further behind, with the number of jobs declining even deep into the recovery, and those that remained more concentrated in industries and occupations likely to have been disrupted by the pandemic. NvD世界播


Economists analyzing the U.S. path to recovery are worried that inside national measures of economic growth lie deepening divisions between industries and people as some sectors recover fast, while employment in the leisure and hospitality industry, for example, remains 20% below where it was in February. NvD世界播


Such service sector workers, the EIG found, made up a disproportionate share of workers in areas already falling behind economically. NvD世界播


"Communities that were already vulnerable going in, that had already been largely overlooked by the period of growth preceding the pandemic, are the most vulnerable to its effects," said EIG President John Lettieri. NvD世界播

EIG总裁约翰·莱蒂耶里(John Lettieri)说:“那些已经很容易受到影响的社区,在大流行前的增长期已经被基本上忽视了,它们最容易受到其影响。”NvD世界播

Within the roughly 5,000 worst-off zip codes nearly a quarter of working adults were employed in service occupations as of 2018. NvD世界播


The study combines a variety of statistics on education, poverty rates and employment into an index that divides U.S. zip codes into five groups, with the top 20% considered "prosperous" and the bottom considered distressed. NvD世界播


Graphic - Little change for the left behind: https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-ECONOMY/DISTRESS/bdwvkjrrrpm/chart.png NvD世界播


The study did document improvement. Around 33 million more Americans were living in "prosperous," "comfortable" or mid-tier zip codes in 2018 than in 2000 - prosperity that increasingly moved towards urban areas. Those zip codes also became more ethnically and racially diverse, with the share of non-white residents in prosperous areas rising from 16% to 26%. More Americans in distressed areas are also graduating high school. NvD世界播


Graphic - Some upward movement: https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-ECONOMY/DISTRESS/yzdpxaooxvx/chart.png NvD世界播


But the gaps remained large. The number of Americans living in distressed areas remained about 50 million, unchanged since 2000, and a disproportionate share were Black and Hispanic. About 56% of Blacks and 45% of Hispanics lived in economically distressed or at-risk areas. NvD世界播


Graphic - Racial gaps remain: https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-ECONOMY/DISTRESS/oakpenzzyvr/chart.png NvD世界播


From 2000 through February 2020, the United States went through two recessions, one of them deep, but also had its longest measured period of uninterrupted growth. NvD世界播


It did little to change the economic landscape, with roughly two-thirds of zip codes remaining in the same category in which they started. With a third recession sparked by the pandemic now underway, the divide may grow deeper. NvD世界播


"All of the gains have gone to higher tiers," said EIG research director Kenan Fikri. "We have a chronic tail of distressed communities." NvD世界播

EIG研究总监凯南·菲克里(Kenan Fikri)表示:“所有的收益都流向了更高的层次。”“我们有一条长期困扰社区的尾巴。”NvD世界播

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